典型文献
Energy transition toward carbon-neutrality in China:Pathways,implications and uncertainties
文献摘要:
Achieving carbon neutrality in China before 2060 requires a radical energy transition.To identify the possible transition pathways of China's energy system,this study presents a scenario-based assessment using the Low Emissions Analysis Platform(LEAP)model.China could peak the carbon dioxide(CO2)emissions before 2030 with current policies,while carbon neutrality entails a reduction of 7.8 Gt CO2 in emissions in 2060 and requires an energy system overhaul.The assessment of the relationship between the energy transition and energy return on investment(EROI)reveals that energy transition may decrease the EROI,which would trigger increased energy investment,energy demand,and emissions.Uncer-tainty analysis further shows that the slow renewable energy integration policies and carbon capture and storage(CCS)penetration pace could hinder the emission mitiga-tion,and the possible fossil fuel shortage calls for a much rapid proliferation of wind and solar power.Results suggest a continuation of the current preferential policies for renewables and further research and development on deployment of CCS.The results also indicate the need for backup capacities to enhance the energy security during the transition.
文献关键词:
中图分类号:
作者姓名:
Yong YANG;Hui WANG;Andreas L?SCHEL;Peng ZHOU
作者机构:
College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aero-nautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China;School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum(East China),Qingdao 266580,China;Ruhr-Universit?t Bochum,44801 Bochum,Germany
文献出处:
引用格式:
[1]Yong YANG;Hui WANG;Andreas L?SCHEL;Peng ZHOU-.Energy transition toward carbon-neutrality in China:Pathways,implications and uncertainties)[J].工程管理前沿(英文版),2022(03):358-372
A类:
overhaul,EROI,Uncer
B类:
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AB值:
0.59988
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