典型文献
A U.S.-China coal power transition and the global 1.5℃pathway
文献摘要:
As the world seeks to increase ambition rapidly to limit global warming to 1.5℃,joint leadership from the world's largest greenhouse gas(GHG)emitters—the United States(U.S.)and China—will be critical to deliver significant emissions reductions from their own countries as well as to catalyze increased international action.After a period of uncertainty in international climate policy,these countries now both have current leadership that supports ambitious climate action.In this context,a feasible,high-impact,and potentially globally catalytic agreement by the U.S.and China to transition away from coal to clean energy would be a major contribution toward this global effort.We undertake a plant-by-plant assessment in the power sector to identify practical coal retirement pathways for each country that are in line with national priorities and the global 1.5℃target.Our plant-by-plant analysis shows that the 1.5℃-compatible pathways may result in an average retirement age of 47 years for the U.S.coal plants and 22 years for Chinese coal plants,raising important questions of how to compare broader economic,employment,and social impacts.We also demonstrate that such pathways would also lead to significant emissions reductions,lowering overall global energy-related CO2 emissions by about 9%in 2030 relative to 2020.A catalytic effect from the possibility of other countries taking compatible actions is estimated to reduce global emissions by 5.1 Gt CO2 in 2030 and by 10.1 Gt CO2 in 2045.
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作者姓名:
Ryna Yiyun CUI;Nathan HULTMAN;Di-Yang CUI;Haewon MCJEON;Leon CLARKE;Jia-Hai YUAN;Wen-Jia CAI
作者机构:
Center for Global Sustainability,School of Public Policy,University of Maryland,College Park,MD,20742,USA;Joint Global Change Research Institute,Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,College Park,MD,20740,USA;School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing,102206,China;Department of Earth System Science,Tsinghua University,Beijing,100084,China
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引用格式:
[1]Ryna Yiyun CUI;Nathan HULTMAN;Di-Yang CUI;Haewon MCJEON;Leon CLARKE;Jia-Hai YUAN;Wen-Jia CAI-.A U.S.-China coal power transition and the global 1.5℃pathway)[J].气候变化研究进展(英文版),2022(02):179-186
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0.571289
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