The continuous growth of urban agglomerations in China has increased their com-plexity as well as vulnerability.In this context,urban resilience is critical for the healthy and sustainable development of urban agglomerations.Focusing on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH)urban agglomeration,this study constructs an urban resilience evaluation system based on four subsystems:economy,society,infrastructure,and ecology.It uses the entropy method to measure the urban resilience of the BTH urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2018.Theil index,standard deviation ellipse,and gray prediction model GM(1,1)methods are used to examine the spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of urban resilience in this urban agglomeration.Our results show that the comprehensive evaluation index for urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration followed a steady upward trend from 2000 to 2018,with an average annual growth rate of 6.72％.There are significant differences in each sub-system's contribution to urban resilience;overall,economic resilience is the main factor af-fecting urban resilience,with an average annual growth rate of 8.06％.Spatial differences in urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration have decreased from 2000 to 2018,show-ing the typical characteristic of being greater in the central core area and lower in the sur-rounding non-core areas.The level of urban resilience in the BTH urban agglomeration is forecast to continue increasing over the next ten years.However,there are still considerable differences between the cities.Policy factors will play a positive role in promoting the resili-ence level.Based on the evaluation results,corresponding policy recommendations are put forward to provide scientific data support and a theoretical basis for the resilience construc-tion of the BTH urban agglomeration.

MU Xufang;FANG Chuanglin;YANG Zhiqi

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China

地理学报（英文版）

[1]MU Xufang;FANG Chuanglin;YANG Zhiqi-.Spatio-temporal evolution and dynamic simulation of the urban resilience of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration)[J].地理学报（英文版）,2022(09):1766-1790

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