典型文献
Response of glaciers to future climate change in the Beida River catchment,northeast Tibetan Plateau
文献摘要：
Understanding how future climate change impacts glaciers is crucial to sustainable water supplies and water resource managements.A calibrated degree-day glacier mass balance model and a volume-area scaling approach were coupled to quantitatively assess the effect of future climate change on the ice volume in the Beida River catchment,Northeast Tibetan Plateau.The results show that future mean mass loss of all glaciers will reach to 0.628±0.058,0.676±0.058 and 0.765±0.074×108 m3 yr1 under RCP 2.6,4.5 and 8.5,respectively,with 81％-96.2％ice volume losses by the end of 21st century.Future mass balance tends to be more negative until 2050 under RCP 2.6,until 2060 under RCP 4.5,and until 2100 under RCP 8.5.Glaciers in the catchment are likely experiencing or will soon experience the most intense ice loss,which may lead to negative impact on water resources after the tipping point around 2015-2035.In the RCP 8.5 scenario,the summer mass balance decreases with elevation at the altitudinal belt of 4650～5050 m a.s.l.due to the variation of elevation structure caused by accelerating glaciers shrinkage.Further,the simulations are sensitive to the parameterization scheme of glacier area and air temperature.The projections have the potential to significantly improve our understandings of glacier regime over data-poor regions.
文献关键词：
中图分类号：
作者姓名：
WANG Sheng;YAO Tan-dong;PU Jian-chen
作者机构：
Geography Science Institute,Shanxi Normal University,Taiyuan 030000,China;Key Laboratory of Tibetan Environment Changes and Land Surface Processes,Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS),Beijing 100101,China;CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences,Beijing 100101,China;State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,Northwest Institute of Eco-environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS),Lanzhou 730000,China
文献出处：
引用格式：
[1]WANG Sheng;YAO Tan-dong;PU Jian-chen-.Response of glaciers to future climate change in the Beida River catchment,northeast Tibetan Plateau)[J].山地科学学报（英文版）,2022(12):3582-3596
A类：
Beida,yr1
B类：
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AB值：
0.545955
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