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典型文献
The Novel Triangle MGM(1,m,N)Model and Its Applications
文献摘要:
The MGM(1,m,N)model is an effective grey multi-variate forecasting model that consid-ers multiple system characteristic sequences affected by multiple factors.Nevertheless,it is regularly inaccurate in the application.This is because the model requires a strong correlation between the system characteristic sequences.That reduces the applicability of the model.To solve this problem,this paper proposes a novel multi-variate grey model.This model does not require a certain correlation between system characteristic sequences and has higher applicability.Through numerical integration,a two-point trapezoidal formula,and a recursive method,the time-response expressions of the two model forms are obtained.Some properties of the proposed model are further discussed.Finally,the validity of the proposed model is evaluated by using two real cases related to China's invention patent development.The results show that the novel models outperform other models in both simulation and prediction applications.
文献关键词:
作者姓名:
Pingping XIONG;Yurui WU;Hui SHU;Junjie WANG
作者机构:
School of Management Science and Engineering,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;College of Mathematics and Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;College of Science,Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Nanjing 210003,China;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China
引用格式:
[1]Pingping XIONG;Yurui WU;Hui SHU;Junjie WANG-.The Novel Triangle MGM(1,m,N)Model and Its Applications)[J].系统科学与信息学报(英文版),2022(03):257-279
A类:
B类:
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AB值:
0.638649
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